On the Spot with GSM | Precious Metals Market Report (9/04/2025)

Gold Bars & Gold Coins with Chart Behind

Gold

Spot gold eased slightly today. It traded near $3,553.75 per ounce by mid-morning, down about 0.1% after hitting a recent record. Futures fell roughly 0.6% to $3,613.80. Markets appear to be taking profits after gold’s big breakout rally. Still, strong momentum remains. Traders now look to Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls data for clues on the Federal Reserve’s next move. The Fed’s anticipated policy path underpins the price. Unrest over the Fed’s independence is also boosting safe-haven demand.

Gold’s sharp rise is driven by expectations of a near-certain rate cut. Futures price about a 97% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in mid-September. Weak job openings reinforce that view. That outlook keeps demand for non-yielding assets like gold high—even as traders take some gains.

Silver

Silver pulled back in step with gold. It traded near $40.82 per ounce, down about 0.8%. Still, it remains near multi-year highs. Silver hit its highest since 2011 just yesterday. Its high beta makes it more volatile than gold. Silver is rising on rate-cut bets and haven flows, but it is also sensitive to dollar moves and industrial demand. Investors now watch if weaker job data can push silver toward the $41 level again.

Other news that is affecting these spots

Markets are keyed to U.S. labor data. Investors expect a slow job market. That raises hopes for a dovish Fed. Inflation reports have not changed this view. Fed talk continues to influence gold and silver. Political risk is also high. Moves against the Fed’s independence amplify uncertainty. The Trump administration seeks a Supreme Court review of tariffs. That too fosters defensive buying in metals. Global trade fears weigh on equities. Risk aversion helps safe-haven flows into bullion. Thus, both gold and silver stay underpinned by rate-cut expectations and policy risk.

Platinum

Platinum is softer this morning. The spot price stands around $1,409.53 per ounce, down 1.6%. The drop echoes the broader metals sell-off. Still, platinum remains supported by tight supply and steady industrial demand. Car production and green-tech uses help the metal hold value. Unlike gold, platinum is more tied to autos and supply balance.

Palladium

Palladium also slipped. It trades near $1,129.82 per ounce, down about 1.6%. Industrial demand remains its main driver. Palladium is key in auto-catalysts and electronics. Its limited supply makes it sensitive to shifts in manufacturing and policy. While its decline today mirrors gold and silver, palladium’s fundamentals remain distinct.

Why it matters

Gold and silver are flowing with macro sentiment. The Fed rate-cut path is the main tide. But policy risk and political pressure add intensity. Silver’s swings are larger due to its higher beta. Platinum and palladium reflect industry health. Yet today, sentiment carries them too. All metals show the tug between easing hopes and inflation fears. As markets await jobs data, metals remain a gauge of policy and politics.

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